Here is Dr. Klotman’s Week 287 video address. My digest follows.

Vaccine Reports and Recommendations

  • This week there was an FDA report of 25 deaths among children who had received COVID vaccine. The data for this report came from the CDC’s Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System.
  • This so-called “study” was little more than a tally of deaths following vaccination; it did not have the rigor or power to establish that vaccination was the cause of death in any of those cases.
  • RFK, Jr has pledged to review all vaccine safety data, and that is at best humorous and at worst dangerous.
  • Such statements suggest that medical experts and vaccine scientists are not competent to evaluate that data and further suggests that a political operative with no scientific expertise or medical training is so qualified. Bullshit!!
  • The newly reconstituted ACIP consisting of anti-vaxers has already made unscientific recommendations regarding COVID vaccine – restricting it the elderly and those with conditions that predispose to severe outcomes if infected

COVID Vaccine Safety

  • There have been a billion doses of COVID vaccine delivered in the USA
  • Studies of adverse events reported in association with COVID vaccine have revealed eight potential “signals” (potentially causal relationships) including heart attack, myocarditis, immune thrombocytopedic purpura, seizure, Bell’s Palsy, venous thromboembolism, and GBS (a post-vaccine paralysis)
  • All of these signals, on further investigation, were found to be false except for myocarditis in some people. 83% of them recovered within 90 days, and 90% recovered within a year. This condition occurred in 2-7 patients per million vaccine doses in 2023-2024
  • None of the folks who developed myocarditis died or required a heart transplant
  • COVID itself can cause myocarditis, renal injury, and neurological disease in children
  • And children are especially vulnerable to Long COVID that can last for months and limit activity, learning, and every other aspect of life

COVID Infection

  • COVID test positivity, ER visits, hospitalizations, and deaths are all spiking in the USA
  • COVID wastewater levels are back to their 2024 peak levels – Merde!
  • XFG continues to be dominant COVID strain in the USA
  • All the Texas metro areas are showing high COVID activity this month

My Commentary

I have a thought experiment that I share with folks who try to make sense of database reports that pretend to reveal causal relationships between medical interventions (medicines, surgeries, vaccinations, etc.) and adverse events. I call this exercise, “The Risk of Scrambled Eggs for Breakfast.”

Let’s say that we collect cases of fatal big-rig traffic accidents involving smaller vehicles. One of the data items that we collect is what the driver of the smaller vehicle had for breakfast – perhaps a sausage biscuit, or scrambled eggs with toast, etc. It’s the kind of thing that a big law firm like Thomas J Henry might want to mine for clients.

It turns out that in a giant Department of Transportation database there are hundreds of cases of fatal accidents fitting our criteria for a scrambled egg breakfast and a subsequent fatal collision with an 18-wheeler. The question is, “Was it the scrambled eggs that were the cause of the accident?” How can we possibly know that the eggs were or were not the cause?

In order to sort this out, we would really need to know how many people had scrambled eggs for breakfast during the same interval of time and didn’t have an auto accident with an 18-wheeler. Moreover, we would need to know how many people had a fatal accident with an 18-wheeler despite having something other than scrambled eggs for breakfast.

The point here, is that we need a rigorous statistical analysis that helps us sort out the difference between Coincidence (two things are true but unrelated) and Cause (two things are related as cause-and-effect).

Tallying up reports of childhood deaths after COVID vaccination or fatal traffic accidents after having scrambled eggs for breakfast is not “science” and it is not “analysis.” It is simply arithmetic and tells us only one important thing – that the individual doing the counting has no relevant training in statistics or science.

I don’t often have scrambled eggs for breakfast, but when I do, I prefer them in an egg and bacon taco.

By: llcPosted on