{"id":8476,"date":"2025-09-20T00:34:29","date_gmt":"2025-09-20T05:34:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/llcspace.site\/?p=8476"},"modified":"2025-09-20T00:40:17","modified_gmt":"2025-09-20T05:40:17","slug":"this-week-in-public-health-35","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/llcspace.site\/?p=8476","title":{"rendered":"This Week in Public Health"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Here is <a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/DApN--bCjiE?si=Cvz6KWHxhG7H5i7Z\">Dr. Klotman&#8217;s Week 287 video address<\/a>. My digest follows.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Vaccine Reports and Recommendations<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"\">This week there was an FDA report of 25 deaths among children who had received COVID vaccine. The data for this report came from the CDC&#8217;s Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"\">This so-called &#8220;study&#8221; was little more than a tally of deaths following vaccination; it did not have the rigor or power to establish that vaccination was the cause of death in any of those cases. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"\">RFK, Jr has pledged to review all vaccine safety data, and that is at best humorous and at worst dangerous. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"\">Such statements suggest that medical experts and vaccine scientists are not competent to evaluate that data and further suggests that a political operative with no scientific expertise or medical training is so qualified. Bullshit!!<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"\">The newly reconstituted ACIP consisting of anti-vaxers has already made unscientific recommendations regarding COVID vaccine &#8211; restricting it the elderly and those with conditions that predispose to severe outcomes if infected<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>COVID Vaccine Safety<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"\">There have been a billion doses of COVID vaccine delivered in the USA<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"\">Studies of adverse events reported in association with COVID vaccine have revealed eight potential &#8220;signals&#8221; (potentially causal relationships) including heart attack, myocarditis, immune thrombocytopedic purpura, seizure, Bell&#8217;s Palsy, venous thromboembolism, and GBS (a post-vaccine paralysis)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"\">All of these signals, on further investigation, were found to be false except for myocarditis in some people. 83% of them recovered within 90 days, and 90% recovered within a year. This condition occurred in 2-7 patients per million vaccine doses in 2023-2024<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"\">None of the folks who developed myocarditis died or required a heart transplant<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"\">COVID itself can cause myocarditis, renal injury, and neurological disease in children<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"\">And children are especially vulnerable to Long COVID that can last for months and limit activity, learning, and every other aspect of life<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>COVID Infection<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"\">COVID test positivity, ER visits, hospitalizations, and deaths are all spiking in the USA <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"\">COVID wastewater levels are back to their 2024 peak levels &#8211; Merde!<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"\">XFG continues to be dominant COVID strain in the USA<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"\">All the Texas metro areas are showing high COVID activity this month<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>My Commentary<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I have a thought experiment that I share with folks who try to make sense of database reports that pretend to reveal causal relationships between medical interventions (medicines, surgeries, vaccinations, etc.) and adverse events. I call this exercise, &#8220;The Risk of Scrambled Eggs for Breakfast.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Let&#8217;s say that we collect cases of fatal big-rig traffic accidents involving smaller vehicles. One of the data items that we collect is what the driver of the smaller vehicle had for breakfast &#8211; perhaps a sausage biscuit, or scrambled eggs with toast, etc. It&#8217;s the kind of thing that a big law firm like Thomas J Henry might want to mine for clients. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It turns out that in a giant Department of Transportation database there are hundreds of cases of fatal accidents fitting our criteria for a scrambled egg breakfast and a subsequent fatal collision with an 18-wheeler. The question is, &#8220;Was it the scrambled eggs that were the cause of the accident?&#8221; How can we possibly know that the eggs were or were not the cause?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In order to sort this out, we would really need to know how many people had scrambled eggs for breakfast during the same interval of time and didn&#8217;t have an auto accident with an 18-wheeler. Moreover, we would need to know how many people had a fatal accident with an 18-wheeler despite having something other than scrambled eggs for breakfast. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The point here, is that we need a rigorous statistical analysis that helps us sort out the difference between Coincidence (two things are true but unrelated) and Cause (two things are related as cause-and-effect). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Tallying up reports of childhood deaths after COVID vaccination or fatal traffic accidents after having scrambled eggs for breakfast is not &#8220;science&#8221; and it is not &#8220;analysis.&#8221; It is simply arithmetic and tells us only one important thing &#8211; that the individual doing the counting has no relevant training in statistics or science. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I don&#8217;t often have scrambled eggs for breakfast, but when I do, I prefer them in an egg and bacon taco.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Here is Dr. Klotman&#8217;s Week 287 video address. My digest follows. Vaccine Reports and Recommendations COVID Vaccine Safety COVID Infection My Commentary I have a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"WB4WB4WP_MODE":"","WB4WP_PAGE_SCRIPTS":"","WB4WP_PAGE_STYLES":"","WB4WP_PAGE_FONTS":"","WB4WP_PAGE_HEADER":"","WB4WP_PAGE_FOOTER":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8476","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>This Week in Public Health - Musings<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"This Week in Public Health - Musings\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Here is Dr. Klotman&#8217;s Week 287 video address. My digest follows. Vaccine Reports and Recommendations COVID Vaccine Safety COVID Infection My Commentary I have a [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/llcspace.site\/?p=8476\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Musings\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-09-20T05:34:29+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-09-20T05:40:17+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"llc\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"llc\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/llcspace.site\\\/?p=8476#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/llcspace.site\\\/?p=8476\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"llc\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/llcspace.site\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/4a3595818a3bfe17304a0650debd7f2b\"},\"headline\":\"This Week in Public Health\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-09-20T05:34:29+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-09-20T05:40:17+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/llcspace.site\\\/?p=8476\"},\"wordCount\":707,\"commentCount\":0,\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/llcspace.site\\\/?p=8476#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/llcspace.site\\\/?p=8476\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/llcspace.site\\\/?p=8476\",\"name\":\"This Week in Public Health - Musings\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/llcspace.site\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2025-09-20T05:34:29+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-09-20T05:40:17+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/llcspace.site\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/4a3595818a3bfe17304a0650debd7f2b\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/llcspace.site\\\/?p=8476#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/llcspace.site\\\/?p=8476\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/llcspace.site\\\/?p=8476#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/llcspace.site\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"This Week in Public Health\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/llcspace.site\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/llcspace.site\\\/\",\"name\":\"Musings\",\"description\":\"\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/llcspace.site\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/llcspace.site\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/4a3595818a3bfe17304a0650debd7f2b\",\"name\":\"llc\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/6d0bac5668fed2a45a650575139e3b5d14611722b197cdb7b31b49b702057464?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/6d0bac5668fed2a45a650575139e3b5d14611722b197cdb7b31b49b702057464?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/6d0bac5668fed2a45a650575139e3b5d14611722b197cdb7b31b49b702057464?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"llc\"},\"description\":\"I'm a retired Internist-Geriatrician whose interests are astrophotography, food, family, cats and friends though not necessarily in that order.\",\"sameAs\":[\"llcortes55@gmail.com\"],\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/llcspace.site\\\/?author=1\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"This Week in Public Health - Musings","robots":{"index":"noindex","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"This Week in Public Health - Musings","og_description":"Here is Dr. Klotman&#8217;s Week 287 video address. My digest follows. Vaccine Reports and Recommendations COVID Vaccine Safety COVID Infection My Commentary I have a [&hellip;]","og_url":"https:\/\/llcspace.site\/?p=8476","og_site_name":"Musings","article_published_time":"2025-09-20T05:34:29+00:00","article_modified_time":"2025-09-20T05:40:17+00:00","author":"llc","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"llc","Est. reading time":"4 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/llcspace.site\/?p=8476#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/llcspace.site\/?p=8476"},"author":{"name":"llc","@id":"https:\/\/llcspace.site\/#\/schema\/person\/4a3595818a3bfe17304a0650debd7f2b"},"headline":"This Week in Public Health","datePublished":"2025-09-20T05:34:29+00:00","dateModified":"2025-09-20T05:40:17+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/llcspace.site\/?p=8476"},"wordCount":707,"commentCount":0,"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/llcspace.site\/?p=8476#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/llcspace.site\/?p=8476","url":"https:\/\/llcspace.site\/?p=8476","name":"This Week in Public Health - Musings","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/llcspace.site\/#website"},"datePublished":"2025-09-20T05:34:29+00:00","dateModified":"2025-09-20T05:40:17+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/llcspace.site\/#\/schema\/person\/4a3595818a3bfe17304a0650debd7f2b"},"breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/llcspace.site\/?p=8476#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/llcspace.site\/?p=8476"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/llcspace.site\/?p=8476#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/llcspace.site\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"This Week in Public Health"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/llcspace.site\/#website","url":"https:\/\/llcspace.site\/","name":"Musings","description":"","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/llcspace.site\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/llcspace.site\/#\/schema\/person\/4a3595818a3bfe17304a0650debd7f2b","name":"llc","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/6d0bac5668fed2a45a650575139e3b5d14611722b197cdb7b31b49b702057464?s=96&d=mm&r=g","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/6d0bac5668fed2a45a650575139e3b5d14611722b197cdb7b31b49b702057464?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/6d0bac5668fed2a45a650575139e3b5d14611722b197cdb7b31b49b702057464?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"llc"},"description":"I'm a retired Internist-Geriatrician whose interests are astrophotography, food, family, cats and friends though not necessarily in that order.","sameAs":["llcortes55@gmail.com"],"url":"https:\/\/llcspace.site\/?author=1"}]}},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/llcspace.site\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8476","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/llcspace.site\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/llcspace.site\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/llcspace.site\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/llcspace.site\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8476"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/llcspace.site\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8476\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8479,"href":"https:\/\/llcspace.site\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8476\/revisions\/8479"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/llcspace.site\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8476"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/llcspace.site\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8476"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/llcspace.site\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8476"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}